SETI public: FW: Jonathan's Space Report, No. 549

From: LARRY KLAES (ljk4_at_msn.com)
Date: Mon Jun 27 2005 - 06:08:44 PDT

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    >From: Planet4589 <owner-jsr_at_host.planet4589.org>
    >Subject: Jonathan's Space Report, No. 549
    >Date: Sun, 26 Jun 2005 23:31:53 -0400
    >
    >Jonathan's Space Report
    >No. 549 2005 Jun 27, Somerville, MA
    >-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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    >Reply-To: jcm_at_host.planet4589.org@host.planet4589.org
    >
    >Cosmos-1/Volna
    >--------------
    >
    >The ambitious privately funded Planetary Society solar sail mission,
    >Cosmos-1, was lost during launch on Jun 21, the second launch failure
    >for the Russian launch industry within 24 hours.
    >
    >The Volna submarine-launched ballistic missile was launched at 1946:09 UTC
    >from the K-496 "Borisoglebsk", a Kalmar-class submarine, in the Barents
    >Sea.
    >The first stage engine of the Volna is reported to have failed 83 seconds
    >into flight, and the first stage did not separate from the second stage.
    >The rocket ended its flight 160 seconds after launch; it probably
    >reached about 200 km into space before falling back to Earth.
    >
    >Confusing the issue, the Planetary Society reported that telemetry from
    >the satellite was recorded but contact was lost during the apogee burn
    >at 2007 UTC. That would have suggested a failure of the final stage
    >apogee burn when the vehicle would have been in around a -2000 x 765 km
    >x 80 deg orbit, with reentry around 2019 UTC over the equatorial
    >Pacific. However, it's not unknown for stray signals to be confused
    >with the real target, and the later claims of telemetry on the second
    >orbit, which now seem to be clearly wrong, cast doubt on the apogee burn
    >information too. At the moment the balance of the evidence is that the
    >spacecraft no longer existed by 1950 UTC and all reports of
    >transmissions later than that are incorrect; but some confusion remains
    >and I hope to provide more details in a future issue.
    >
    >I'm very disappointed about this one: Cosmos-1, sponsored by the
    >Planetary Society (TPS), was an exciting project that was funded by
    >enthusiasts and private investors and I was really looking forward to
    >seeing it work.
    >
    >The 103 kg payload carried an apogee motor for orbit insertion;
    >after reaching orbit it would have deployed 8 blades of aluminized
    >Mylar spanning 30 meters. The planned 850 km orbit was high enough
    >that solar radiation pressure would have been big enough compared
    >to atmospheric drag to be measured, resulting in an expected force
    >of 3 milliNewtons. This would have made Cosmos 1 the first spacecraft
    >to use solar radiation pressure for propulsion.
    >
    >The solar radiation pressure in the vicinity of the Earth is
    >4.6 microPascals. For comparison, the solar wind pressure is only
    >0.4 nanoPascals today, and is typically a few nPa. Typical atmospheric
    >drag at 850 km is about 0.1 microPascal compared to 30 micropascals
    >at ISS altitudes around 400 km.
    >
    >Some reports had incorrectly said that a suborbital ESA reentry test
    >payload,
    >Demonstrator-2R, was also expected to be on the Volna. Gunter Krebs
    >clarified this for me: the Dem-2R went to the launch site at the same
    >time as Cosmos-1, but is slated for a different Volna that was planned
    >for July.
    >
    >There have been at least 7 other cases of two orbital launch failures
    >within 24 hours. The record was on 1966 May 17 when a Voskhod/Zenit bit the
    >dust
    >and an Atlas Agena Gemini target swallowed ocean only 4 hr 15 min aprt.
    >
    >Note: Of course, don't confuse the Planetary Society's Cosmos-1
    >satellite with the Soviet Union satellite I call Kosmos-1 (reflecting a
    >transliteration from the Cyrillic) launched in 1962.
    >
    >Molniya
    >-------
    >
    >A Molniya 8K78M rocket launch failed to reach orbit on Jun 21. The
    >four-stage rocket took off from the First State Cosmodrome at Plesetsk
    >at 0049 UTC. The Blok-I third stage, the Blok-ML fourth stage, and the
    >Molniya-3K satellite payload crashed in the Tyumen region of Siberia.
    >Initial reports said the vehicle engine malfunctioned 4 minutes 58
    >seconds after launch, at the time of stage 2/3 separation, either
    >because the Blok-I failed to ignite or the Blok-A second stage failed to
    >separate cleanly. A later report has suggested one of the liquid strapon
    >boosters (Blok B, V, G or D) had a problem; again, details are still
    >coming in.
    >
    >Normally the Blok-I stage puts the payload and upper stage in parking
    >orbit, but in this case the vehicle probably reached an apogee of
    >180-190 km on its suborbital trajectory. Estimated orbits of around
    >-5000 x 185 km x 62.8 deg or -4500 x 200 km x 62.8 deg roughly fit the
    >stage 2/3 sep information and predict reentry around 0059 UTC.
    >
    >Since the Molniya is basically a Soyuz-U with a fourth stage, this
    >failure might delay Soyuz launches; a commercial US satellite, Galaxy 14,
    >and a Progress cargo ship launch are scheduled for August. This
    >is the first failure of a Soyuz/Molniya vehicle since the disastrous
    >2002 launch-pad explosion of the Soyuz carrying the first Foton-M,
    >and the two 1996 Soyuz failures caused by nose fairing problems.
    >One famous previous case of stage 2/3 separation failure was in
    >April 1975 when two Soyuz astronauts had to make an emergency
    >high-g reentry.
    >
    >The Molniya-3K communications satellite is built by NPO PM and
    >provides communications and probably video for the Russian Ministry of
    >Defense. Historically Molniya-3 satellites also provided civil
    >communications; the last regular Molniya-3 was launched on 2003 Jun 19.
    >This launch was the second Molniya-3K, following the prototype launched
    >on 2001 Jul 20. Alexander Zheleznyakov tells me the launch used pad 16/2
    >at Plesetsk.
    >
    >Intelsat Americas 8
    >-------------------
    >
    >On Jun 23, Sea Launch put up Intelsat Americas 8, breaking the run of
    >failures. IA-8 is an enhanced Loral LS-1300 satellite with Ku, C and Ka
    >band transponders; launch mass is 5493 kg. The satellite is owned by
    >Intelsat, the recently privatized communications company now based in
    >Bermuda. The Zenit-3SL launch vehicle's third stage, the Blok DM-SL,
    >put IA-8 in a 144 x 35609 km x 0.1 deg geostationary transfer orbit.
    >
    >Ekspress AM-3
    >--------------
    >
    >A new domestic Russian communications satellite, Ekspress AM-3, was
    >launched on Jun 24 from Baykonur. The launch vehicle was a Krunichev
    >Proton-K; according to the Novosti Kosmonavtiki web site, it used an
    >Energiya Blok DM-2 (11S861) No. 103L upper stage. Earlier Express
    >satellites used the modernized DM-2M version of the stage, while
    >commercial International Launch Services flights with the Proton use the
    >Briz-M stage and an uprated Proton-M launch vehicle.
    >
    >The NK site reports that the Proton-K was serial number 410-10;
    >the official TsENKI web site has a document indicating 410-07 was to
    >be used, but my information indicates 410-07 was actually flown on
    >last December's Glonass launch.
    >
    >The Ekspress AM-3 satellite was built by NPO PM and is owned
    >by Kosmicheskaya Svyaz, the Russian Communications Satellite Co.
    >It carries an Alcatel communications payload with Ku and C band
    >transponders, and one L-band transponder for mobile communications.
    >
    > Ekspress AM satellites:
    > Launched Upper stage Location
    > AM-22 2003 Dec 28 DM-2M No. 13L 53.0E
    > AM-11 2004 Apr 26 DM-2M No. 14L 96.5E
    > AM-1 2004 Oct 29 DM-2M No. 15L 40.0E
    > AM-2 2005 Mar 29 DM-2M No. 16L 80.0E
    > AM-3 2005 Jun 24 DM-2 No. 103L Due at 40E
    >
    >The Blok DM-2 went into a 231 x 35689 x 48.8 deg transfer orbit
    >after its first burn. A second burn circularized the orbit
    >at geostationary, and Ekspress AM-3 separated at around 0215 UTC
    >on Jun 25.
    >
    >Space Station
    >-------------
    >
    >Progress M-52 (vehicle 352) undocked from the Space Station's Zvezda
    >module at 2016 UTC on Jun 15. Its engine burn at 2316 UTC lowered its
    >orbit from 347 x 353 km to 62 x 353 km, and it reentered over the
    >Pacific at 2357 UTC.
    >
    >Expedition 11 crewmembers Sergey Krikalyov and John Phillips
    >remain aboard the Station, while the STS-114 crew prepare for Shuttle
    >return to flight.
    >
    >Progress vehicle 353 was launched from Baykonur at 2310 UTC on Jun 16,
    >reaching a 187 x 238 km orbit at 2318 UTC and becoming Progress M-53.
    >Progress M-53 will fly Space Station mission 18P delivering supplies to
    >the Station. Progress M-53 docked to the Zvezda module at 0042 UTC on
    >Jun 19. AP (and CNN) quoted Russian spokesman V. Lyndin as saying that
    >the docking was successful in automatic mode, but in fact, as reported
    >by CBS and MSNBC, commander Krikalyov took manual remote control
    >following a communications failure and used the TORU system to guide the
    >vehicle in. The Soyuz TMA-6 transport ship is docked to the Pirs module,
    >and the Zarya port is unoccupied.
    >
    >
    >Foton
    >-----
    >
    >Foton M-2 landed in Kazakstan at 0736 UTC on Jun 16 after a successful
    >mission.
    >
    >Erratum: although it had been planned that the Fotino experiment would
    >fly aboard Foton M-2, I now understand that Fotino was not in fact
    >completed,
    >and did not fly on the spacecraft.
    >
    >
    >
    >Table of Recent Launches
    >-----------------------
    >
    >Date UT Name Launch Vehicle Site Mission
    >INTL.
    >
    >DES.
    >May 5 0445 Cartosat ) PSLV SDLC SLP Imaging
    > 17A
    > HAMSAT ) Comms
    > 17B
    >May 20 1022 NOAA 18 Delta 7320 Vandenberg SLC2W Weather
    > 18A
    >May 22 1759 DirecTV 8 Proton-M/Briz Baykonur LC200/39 Comms
    > 19A
    >May 31 1200 Foton-M No. 2 Soyuz-U Baykonur LC1 Micrograv
    > 20A
    >Jun 16 2310 Progress M-53 Soyuz-U Baykonur LC1 Cargo
    > 21A
    >Jun 21 0049 Molniya-3K Molniya-M Plesetsk LC16/2 Comms
    > F01
    >Jun 21 1946 Cosmos-1 Volna Borisoglebsk,BAR Tech
    > F02
    >Jun 23 1402 Intelsat A-8 Zenit-3SL Odyssey,POR Comms
    > 22A
    >Jun 24 1941 Ekspress AM-3 Proton-K/DM2 Baykonur Comms
    > 23A
    >
    >.-------------------------------------------------------------------------.
    >| Jonathan McDowell | phone : (617) 495-7176 |
    >| Somerville MA 02143 | inter : jcm_at_host.planet4589.org |
    >| USA | jcm_at_cfa.harvard.edu |
    >| |
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