SETI public: FW: [DarlingsSpace] David Darling's Newsletter #34

From: LARRY KLAES (ljk4_at_msn.com)
Date: Fri Dec 16 2005 - 07:44:07 PST

  • Next message: LARRY KLAES: "SETI public: Is Our Universe Natural?"

    >From: "daviddarling123" <drdavid.darling_at_virgin.net>
    >Reply-To: DarlingsSpace-owner_at_yahoogroups.com
    >To: DarlingsSpace_at_yahoogroups.com
    >Subject: [DarlingsSpace] David Darling's Newsletter #34
    >Date: Fri, 16 Dec 2005 13:35:14 -0000
    >
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    >
    >DAVID DARLING'S NEWSLETTER
    >
    >--------------------------------------------------
    >
    >Issue #34
    >December 16, 2005
    >e-mail: daviddarling_at_daviddarling.info
    >website: http://www.daviddarling.info
    >
    >--------------------------------------------------
    >
    >Meanderings
    >
    >As promised in my last newsletter, I've set up a new forum where we
    >can all share thoughts, ideas, news items, and personal experiences
    >on subjects ranging from life in the universe to weird and wonderful
    >phenomena here on Earth. Topics will include all aspects of science
    >and scientific speculation, science fiction, the unexplained, and
    >philosophy. Let me warmly invite you to get involved by contributing
    >to one of our existing discussion threads or starting one of your
    >own. In June, when my new book - Gravity's Arc - is published, I'll
    >be awarding a signed copy to whomever I think has been the star
    >contributor. See you at the forum:
    >
    >http://www.daviddarling.info/forums/phpBB2/index.php
    >
    >One of the more interesting things I was asked to do over the last
    >month was reply to an article, by a one-time SETI enthusiast, which
    >argues for a far more cautious view about the likelihood of
    >extraterrestrial civilizations. The request came from Ken Frazier,
    >editor of the Skeptical Inquirer, and went out to both myself and
    >Jill Tarter of the SETI Institute. Both our comments/rebuttals are
    >to be published along with the article, by Dr. Peter Schenkel (the
    >author of three books on extraterrestrial intelligence) in a
    >forthcoming issue of the SI.
    >
    >It's an interesting question, which I'll be posting on my forum
    >immediately after sending out this newsletter: In more than four
    >decades of searching for ETI, since Frank Drake's seminal efforts to
    >listen for radio messages coming from Epsilon Eridani and Tau Ceti
    >in 1960, we've heard nothing (unless you include the Wow! Signal and
    >a few other unexplained blips). Why not? Does it mean no one's out
    >there after all? Should we abandon SETI and get used to the fact
    >that we're alone in the Galaxy?
    >
    >I think not. About all we can say is that there aren't very large
    >numbers of inhabited planets in our cosmic neighborhood routinely
    >sending out fairly powerful radio or laser signals in our direction.
    >But even Star Trek isn't that optimistic about the ease with which
    >we'll make first contact!
    >
    >Let me give you my personal take on what's going on. I think there
    >is other intelligence in the Galaxy and I don't think it's
    >particularly rare. I'd guess there are many thousands of planets
    >among the hundreds of billions of star systems in the Milky Way that
    >harbor intelligent life at or beyond the level found here on Earth.
    >Why then haven't we detected them? For several reasons. First, I
    >strongly suspect that we're only capable of "hearing" the messages
    >being sent by ETI that fall within the same quite narrow
    >technological window as ourselves. We're bound to be among the most
    >primitive of technological species in space - we've only had powered
    >flight for a century! If a species is more than, say, 500 years more
    >advanced than us, they'll have moved, I believe, to a new level of
    >communication that is as inconceivable and as undetectable to us as
    >satellite communications are to a native in the rain forest. Second,
    >a race that is older and far more advanced than us will not be
    >interested in making contact with us, any more than we're
    >interesting in learning to speak to a fish. They may wish to study
    >us from a biological and anthropological standpoint, but that's
    >about it. Third, I'd be very surprised if "superior" beings don't
    >follow some kind of Prime Directive that prevents them from
    >destroying other cultures by interfering in their affairs. You only
    >have to look at what's happened here on Earth, numerous times, when
    >more technically advanced people have made contact, benignly or
    >otherwise, with races that are a few centuries behind in terms of
    >technology. First encounters with native Americas, the Incas, the
    >Aborigines, the list goes on.
    >
    >For more of my thoughts on this, you might like to check out the
    >page of my on-line encyclopedia on the Drake Equation:
    >
    >http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/D/DrakeEq.html
    >
    >Most of all, I'd love to get your opinions on how common you think
    >intelligence is in the Galaxy and on your reasons why we haven't yet
    >heard from them. Put your two-cents' worth on the forum and let's
    >have a good chat about it!
    >
    >
    >In the News
    >
    >It's amazing how much happens in a month. Since the last newsletter
    >went out, Japan's Hayabusa probe has completed it's rendezvous with
    >an asteroid (though whether it will ever get back home is another
    >story), Cassini has returned pictures of vast volcanic plumes on
    >Saturn's moon Enceladus, Mars Express has detected huge reserves of
    >ice beneath the surface of Mars, a completely new species of mammal
    >has been found in the forests of Borneo, one of the spiral arms of
    >our Galaxy has been shown to be twice as close to the Sun as
    >previously thought, and Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic has
    >announced the first 100 people who've signed up to fly as space
    >tourists aboard the company's sub-orbital spacecraft in 2008-09.
    >
    >Would you pay $200,000 for a three-and-a-half flight to the edge of
    >space? Apparently, there are a lot of people willing to do just
    >that, including a woman in her nineties (who learned to skydive at
    >the age of 85!) and one future passenger who's only 16. For more
    >details, see this New Scientist article:
    >
    >http://www.newscientistspace.com/article/dn8457-virgin-galactic-
    >announces-its-first-100-space-tourists.html
    >
    >and Virgin Galactic's homepage:
    >
    >http://www.virgingalactic.com/en/
    >
    >It's also been announced that Virgin Galactic trips
    >aboard "SpaceShipTwo" -- the eight-seater successor to Burt Rutan's
    >X-prize-winning Spaceship One -- will take off from a new spaceport
    >to be build in New Mexico, a stone's-throw away from Roswell, scene
    >of the most famous alleged alien encounter in the annals of ufology.
    >The so-called Southwest Regional Spaceport is also slated to be the
    >venue for the annual X-prize Cup, an annual event showcasing the
    >fledgling commercial spaceflight industry. This Cup will be awarded
    >to the winner of the Rocket Racing League:
    >
    >http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/R/Rocket_Racing_League.html
    >
    >which will pit intrepid rocketeers against each other on a three-
    >dimensional trackway just 5,000 feet above the ground. It'll be the
    >real-life equivalent of the pod race in Star Wars' "The Phantom
    >Menace! Thrilling stuff indeed. This really could be the future of
    >manned space flight -- entrepreneurial, exciting, fast-paced,
    >competitive. I think it's an extraordinary prospect.
    >
    >I was talking about SETI earlier. A big reason why SETI researchers
    >are optimistic about their ongoing quest is the progress that's
    >being made in astrobiology. It seems that hardly a month goes by
    >without further evidence that the conditions needed for life-as-we-
    >know-it to emerge are plentiful out there. Mars looks more promising
    >all the time as a current abode of life, especially in the light of
    >the intriguing methane in its atmosphere. Titan and Europa are also
    >good bets for advanced biochemistry, if not biology itself. And now
    >we can add Enceladus to that exobiological shortlist. Any world that
    >can spout plumes of water vapor high above its surface has at least
    >two of the ingredients needed to kick start life - an internal
    >energy source and water - on tap. Add the possibilities for life in
    >our own solar system to the discovery, to date, of more than 150
    >planets going around other stars, and you can understand why seekers
    >of extraterrestrial life and intelligence can hardly wait for the
    >more detailed studies that are to come over the next couple of
    >decades.
    >
    >Well, that's it for now. I hope to chat with you on the forum on
    >these and many other mouth-watering topics. And, from my family to
    >you and yours, have a wonderful holiday season!
    >
    >All the best,
    >David Darling
    >
    >
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