SETI public: NYT article on no more Hubble servicing missions

From: LARRY KLAES (ljk4_at_msn.com)
Date: Mon Jan 19 2004 - 07:39:23 PST

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    January 17, 2004

    NASA Cancels Trip to Supply Hubble, Sealing Early Doom

    By DENNIS OVERBYE

        =20
    Savor those cosmic postcards while you can. The National Aeronautics and =
    Space Administration decreed an early death yesterday to one of its =
    flagship missions and most celebrated successes, the Hubble Space =
    Telescope.=20

    In a midday meeting at the Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, =
    Md., two days after President Bush ordered NASA to redirect its =
    resources toward human exploration of the Moon and Mars, the agency's =
    administrator, Sean O'Keefe, told the managers of the space telescope =
    that there would be no more shuttle visits to maintain it.

    A visit by astronauts to install a couple of the telescope's scientific =
    instruments and replace the gyroscopes and batteries had been planned =
    for next year. Without any more visits, the telescope, the crown jewel =
    of astronomy for 10 years, will probably die in orbit sometime in 2007, =
    depending on when its batteries or gyroscopes fail for good.

    "It could die tomorrow, it could last to 2011," said Dr. Steven =
    Beckwith, director of the Space Telescope Institute on the Johns Hopkins =
    University campus in Baltimore. Dr. Beckwith said he and his colleagues =
    were devastated.

    At a news conference last night, Dr. John M. Grunsfeld, the agency's =
    chief scientist and an astronaut who has been to the Hubble two times, =
    called the the telescope the "best marriage of human spaceflight and =
    science."=20

    "It is a sad day that we have to announce this," Dr. Grunsfeld added.

    As the news flashed around the world by e-mail, other astronomers joined =
    the Hubble team in their shock. Dr. David N. Spergel, an astronomer at =
    Princeton and a member of a committee that advises NASA on space =
    science, called it a "double whammy" for astronomy. Not only was a =
    telescope being lost, but $200 million worth of instruments that had =
    been built to be added in the later shuttle mission will also be left on =
    the ground, Dr. Spergel said.

    Dr. Garth Illingworth, an astronomer at the University of California at =
    Santa Cruz who is also on the advisory committee, said, "I think this is =
    a mistake," noting that the Hubble was still doing work at the forefront =
    of science.

    Dr. Tod Lauer, of the National Optical Astronomy Observatories in =
    Tucson, said, "This is a pretty nasty turn of events, coming immediately =
    on the heels of `W's' endorsement of space exploration."

    The demise of the Hubble will leave astronomers with no foreseeable =
    prospect of a telescope in space operating primarily at visible =
    wavelengths. The announcement also precludes hopes that astronomers had =
    of using the Hubble in tandem with the James Webb Space Telescope, =
    scheduled for launching in 2011 and which is being designed for infrared =
    wavelengths, to study galaxies at the far reaches of time.

    Ground-based telescopes like the 10-meter-diameter Kecks on Mauna Kea =
    are growing more powerful, and the use of adaptive optics to tune out =
    the blurring effects of the atmosphere lets them approach the resolution =
    of the Hubble in limited cases. But they are blinded by the atmosphere =
    to ultraviolet and infrared light.

    Floating above the murky atmosphere of Earth, the Hubble, launched in =
    1990, has had the ability to see into the depths of space and time with =
    unprecedented clarity, glimpsing galaxies that were under construction =
    when the universe was half its present age and helping cosmologists =
    chart how the mysterious "dark energy" has gradually taken over the =
    expansion of the universe.

    Periodic service calls by shuttle astronauts repaired a series of early =
    problems and have continually refurbished the telescope and kept it at =
    the fore of cosmic research. The mission next year would have left the =
    telescope in good shape to continue working through the end of the =
    decade, when NASA plans to bring it down. But the service missions are =
    expensive, more than $500 million each.=20

    More important, NASA officials say, after the Columbia catastrophe a =
    year ago, the missions are also considered dangerous. The shuttles do =
    not carry enough fuel to reach the space station in case of trouble.

    In its report on the shuttle disaster last summer, the Columbia Accident =
    Investigation Board recommended that there be a way to inspect and =
    repair the shuttle's heat shields, which were damaged after the Columbia =
    lifted off. That is easily conducted if the craft is at the space =
    station, but not at the Hubble.=20

    In his remarks to the astronomers on Friday, according to those present, =
    Mr. O'Keefe referred to that recommendation and said it would be too =
    difficult to develop that ability for a single trip to the telescope.

    Given enough time, NASA might have developed the tools to do it, Dr. =
    Grunsfeld said, but the decision to retire the shuttles in 2010 =
    foreclosed that possibility.=20

    "Cost was not an issue," he said.

    Many astronomers, however, noting that the decision came on the heels of =
    Mr. Bush's directive to NASA to reallocate $11 billion of its resources =
    over the next five years into returning people to the Moon, said money =
    was doubtless also a consideration.

    Presenting the decision as a safety-related issue, the astronomers said, =
    lessened the odds that it would be challenged, by, say NASA's =
    Congressional overseers.

    NASA is not completely off the hook as far as the Hubble is concerned. =
    The agency is committed to bringing it back to Earth safely after its =
    useful life ends. Until the Columbia accident, NASA had planned to =
    retrieve the telescope with a shuttle and put it in the Smithsonian. Now =
    the plan is to build a robotic rocket that would go up, attach itself to =
    the telescope and fire its engine to brake Hubble out of orbit and drop =
    it in the ocean.

    Paradoxically, Dr. Spergel said, the cost of developing such a rocket, =
    estimated at $300 million or more, would come out of the NASA astronomy =
    budget. It is, he said, another double whammy.

    One mission gets canceled, he said, and "what's our next mission, =
    deorbit the telescope?"

    For now, of course, the Hubble lives. Dr. Beckwith said: "We at the =
    institute are devastated by the potential loss of Hubble. But we will do =
    our absolute best to make the final years of its life the most glorious =
    science you've ever seen."

    January 16, 2004
    NASA Creating Office for Missions to the Moon and Beyond
    By KENNETH CHANG
       
    A day after President Bush announced renewed efforts for human space =
    exploration, NASA announced yesterday that it was creating an office to =
    develop technologies for missions to the Moon and beyond.

    The announcement, part of a reorganization of the midlevel bureaucracy, =
    begins what is likely to be a wrenching transition as the agency tries =
    to fulfill its new mandate.

    In his speech on Wednesday at NASA headquarters in Washington, Mr. Bush =
    said the space program would shift its focus from near-Earth orbit. The =
    new program will divert $11 billion out of $86 billion in NASA budgets =
    over the next five years. The agency will also retire the three =
    remaining space shuttles after the International Space Station is =
    completed, in 2010.

    Among the hard decisions for NASA in the next weeks and months is =
    whether to continue sending the shuttle to maintain and upgrade the =
    Hubble Space Telescope. The fourth such mission is scheduled for 2006, =
    which would suffice until the planned retirement of the telescope in =
    2010. But some astronomers have been lobbying for another round of =
    maintenance to extend its lifetime.

    With the new mandate, "it seems unlikely that NASA would consider a =
    fifth servicing mission," Dr. Steven Beckwith, director of the Space =
    Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore, which runs the telescope, =
    wrote in an e-mail message.=20

    With the diversion of money toward the exploration program, "it is =
    entirely possible that they will cancel" the 2006 Hubble mission, Dr. =
    Beckwith said. Without maintenance, the telescope would probably end in =
    2007, he said.

    "It would be devastating to optical astronomy and to one of NASA's most =
    popular programs ever," Dr. Beckwith said. "I hope that keeping Hubble =
    alive to its planned end of life in 2010 is part of NASA's new vision."

    NASA has not given details of its plans, saying they will have to await =
    the release of the agency's budget next month.

    After the shuttles are grounded in 2010, NASA will not have any ability =
    to send astronauts to space until a new spacecraft, the crew exploration =
    vehicle, starts operation in 2014. That will leave NASA and the other =
    nations participating in the International Space Station reliant on =
    Russian rockets for transportation.

    At present, Russia is obligated to provide Soyuz capsules until 2006. =
    Congress has barred NASA from paying Russia for space-station- related =
    services.

    Mr. Bush announced a commission of non-NASA experts to be led by Edward =
    C. Aldridge Jr., a former secretary of the Air Force, that will make =
    recommendations on how NASA should use the new mandate. The commission =
    is to report by the end of the summer.

    In the reorganization, NASA named a retired Navy rear admiral, Craig E. =
    Steidle, as associate administrator in charge of the new Office of =
    Exploration Systems. Among the office's tasks will be developing the =
    crew exploration vehicle, the craft that is to carry astronauts back to =
    the Moon by 2020, and Project Prometheus, which is developing nuclear =
    propulsion systems for deep space probes.

    "The idea," a spokesman for NASA, Michael Braukus, said, "is to have a =
    better concentration in the technology area and to have an office =
    specifically dedicated to exploration."

    Since retiring in March 2000, Admiral Steidle has been an aerospace =
    consultant.=20

    Spacecraft development previously fell under the purview of NASA's =
    Office of Aerospace Technology. In the reorganization, the aerospace =
    technology office, renamed the Office of Aeronautics will focus on =
    cutting-edge aviation technologies.

    Dr. J. Victor Lebacqz, who has been acting associate administrator for =
    the aerospace technology office, is now associate administrator for the =
    aeronautics office. The reorganization also added four offices, the =
    chief engineer, health and medical systems, the chief information =
    officer and institutional and corporate management.

    "We live in a different world than we did just a few years ago," =
    Frederick D. Gregory, deputy NASA administrator, said in a statement. =
    "And our management structure should reflect the priorities and =
    objectives of our commitments."=20


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