SETI public: Fw: Space-Weather-Outlook

From: LARRY KLAES (ljk4_at_msn.com)
Date: Wed Oct 29 2003 - 06:37:08 PST

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    ----- Original Message -----
    From: Space Environment Center
    Sent: Tuesday, October 28, 2003 9:10 PM
    To: advisory-list-send_at_dawn.sec.noaa.gov
    Subject: Space-Weather-Outlook

    Official Space Weather Advisory issued by NOAA Space Environment Center
    Boulder, Colorado, USA

    SPACE WEATHER ADVISORY OUTLOOK #03- 43
    2003 October 28 at 04:11 p.m. MST (2003 October 28 2311 UTC)

    **** SPACE WEATHER OUTLOOK ****

    Summary For October 20-26
    Space weather during the past week reached strong levels. Category R3
    (strong) radio blackouts occurred on October 23rd and again on October
    26th due to solar flares from three large dynamic sunspot regions on
    the sun. A major flare occurred at 1:35 A.M MDT (0835UTC) on October
    23rd producing a category R3 (strong) radio blackout and on October
    24th a brief category G3 (strong) geomagnetic storm. Another major
    flare occurred at 12:19 P.M. MST (1819UTC) on October 26th and produced
    an associated category S2 (moderate) solar radiation storm at 12:25
    P.M. MST (1825Z). The three dynamic sunspot regions continued to
    produce significant flares throughout the week, resulting in category
    R1 - R2 radio blackouts on October 20th to 23rd and again on October
    24th, and 25th. For a list of adverse system effects related to space
    weather storms, please refer to the NOAA Space Weather Scales.

    At the time of this report issue a category R4 (Severe) radio blackout
    occurred at 5:10 A.M. MST (1110 UTC) on October 28th due to a major
    solar flare. This flare also produced a category S3 (strong) solar
    radiation storm.

    Outlook For October 29-November 4
    Space weather for the next week is expected to reach extreme levels. A
    category G5 (extreme) geomagnetic storm is expected late on day one or
    early on day two of the forecast period. The category S3 solar
    radiation storm that started today is expected to continue for the next
    two days and may reache category S4 (severe) levels. The dynamic
    sunspot regions currently on the sun are expected to be active
    throughout the week and may produced a category R1 (minor) to R3
    (strong) radio blackout. Solar radiation storms are also possible from
    these sunspot regions.

    For current space weather conditions please refer to:
    http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/
    http://www.sec.noaa.gov/alerts/

    Data used to provide space weather services are contributed by NOAA,
    USAF, NASA, NSF, USGS, the International Space Environment Services
    and other observatories, universities, and institutions. For more
    information, including email services, see SEC's Space Weather
    Advisories Web site http://sec.noaa.gov/advisories or (303) 497-5127.
    The NOAA Public Affairs contact is Barbara McGehan at
    Barbara.McGehan_at_noaa.gov or (303) 497-6288.


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