From: Noel (nwelstead@seti.org.au)
Date: Tue Jul 23 2002 - 14:45:18 PDT
Dear List,
During the Bioastronomy 2002 conference in Australia at Hamilton Island
this subject was talked about during a number of sessions. There are many
possible answers to the Drake Equation that will affect the outcome of the
Fermi Paradox. One idea touted around at the conference was time it takes
a technological civilization to become stable and pass the danger zone of
self destruction. If you look at the ascent of man (and woman) as a tool maker
and plot this on a graph (vertical) and compare it to time (horizontal) you will see
an exponential curve. We all know that an exponential rise like this can't continue
indefinitely. So, it seems that there is a real danger for a technological race of
beings (like us) to eventually self destruct using their own tools (warfare).
We are in this dangerous part of the curve right now and maybe the answer to
the Fermi Paradox lies in our own troublesome existence and how we deal with it.
Noel C. Welstead
Volcor Eastern Australia
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