SETI [ASTRO] MAJOR FLARE/CME SOON


Larry Klaes (lklaes@bbn.com)
Thu, 24 Jun 1999 09:29:06 -0400


>X-Authentication-Warning: brickbat12.mindspring.com: majordom set sender to owner-astro using -f >Date: Wed, 23 Jun 1999 19:35:43 -0300 (ADT) >From: Michael Boschat <andromed@ATM.DAL.CA> >To: ASTRO <astro@lists.mindspring.com> >Subject: [ASTRO] MAJOR FLARE/CME SOON >Sender: owner-astro@brickbat12.mindspring.com >Reply-To: Michael Boschat <andromed@ATM.DAL.CA> > >June 23, 1999 2030 UT > >SOLAR STATUS REPORT > > HELIOSYNOPTICS, BOULDER, COLORADO > >LARGE CME WITH XRAY FLARE GT M5, OPTICAL CLASS 3+ EXPECTED > IN NEXT 24 HOURS. PROTON EMISSION POSSIBLE, BUT UNLIKELY. > > RAPID SUNSPOT CHANGES OCCURRING IN CENTER OF LARGE COMPLEX OF AT LEAST >NINE SUNSPOT GROUPS IN NE QUADRANT OF SOLAR DISK. MANY NEW, SMALL SPOTS ON >NORTHERN EDGE OF COMPLEX IN PAST TWO HOURS. INCREASED SHEARING SPOT MOTIONS >IN SOUTHERN PORTION (REGION 8594) APPEAR COORDINATED WITH THE NEW SPOT >GROWTH. > >FILAMENT CHANNEL EXTENDING POLEWARD TO SOLAR LIMB FROM THE AREA OF SPOT >GROWTH IS FILLING WITH BRIGHT PLASMA ON EIT-195 IMAGE. THIS MAY BE >IMPORTANT PRECURSOR TO CME FROM THIS LARGE ARCADE. CME MAY NOT PROPAGATE >EARTHWARD, BUT THE SIZE OF THIS COMPLEX IS SUCH THAT A GREAT EVENT COULD >OVERCOME DISK LOCATION. > >THE INTERCONNECTIONS AMONG THIS LARGE NUMBER OF ACTIVE REGIONS ALLOWS A >VERY LARGE FLARE IN OPTICAL CLASS, EASILY TO CLASS 4, THE LARGEST AREAL >CATEGORY. > >AN IMPORTANT TYPE HHX SPOT HAS COME INTO VIEW AT 1950 UT AT S14 E89. TWO >SMALL GROUPS AT S25 E16 AND S16 E33 HAVE GROWN SINCE 1500 UT. > >THERE ARE NOW 17 SUNSPOT GROUPS VISIBLE. AT LEAST SEVEN OF THESE ARE >GROWING TODAY. A DAC GROUP AT N20 E80 MAY BECOME IMPORTANT. A NEW SPOT HAS >FORMED IN THE PAST FEW HOURS NEAR THE OLD SPOT OF REGION 8585 AT N37 W52. >THIS REGION IS CAPABLE OF MAJOR REDEVELOPMENT. > >RADIO FLUX IS RISING. > > > >Patrick S. McIntosh >HelioSynoptics and >McIntosh Squared Graphics >3885 Paseo del Prado >Boulder, CO 80301-1527 >303-444-5880 FAX: 303-440-0102 > > > >



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