SETI bioastro: FW: Centauri Dreams - Dyson Spheres: Hoping to Be Surprised

From: LARRY KLAES (ljk4_at_msn.com)
Date: Fri Apr 04 2008 - 12:32:16 PDT

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    >From: Centauri Dreams <gilster_at_mindspring.com>
    >Reply-To: Centauri Dreams <gilster_at_mindspring.com>
    >Subject: Centauri Dreams
    >Date: Fri, 4 Apr 2008 14:03:42 -0500 (CDT)
    >
    >Centauri Dreams
    >
    >///////////////////////////////////////////

    >Dyson Spheres: Hoping to Be Surprised
    >
    >Posted: 04 Apr 2008 11:50 AM CDT

    >http://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=1806
    >
    >
    >How accurate do you think we are in projecting what extraterrestrial
    >civilizations might do? The question is prompted by recent speculation on
    >Dyson spheres and the supposition that advanced cultures will invariably
    >build them. After all, a Dyson sphere would seem to be a natural for beings
    >who wanted to extract as much usable power as possible from their sun. Such
    >a civilization, which Nikolai Kardashev thought of as Type II, using all
    >the power of its star, would doubtless think breaking up a local gas giant
    >and using it to enclose that star made sense.
    >
    >
    >
    >So lets assume for a moment that extraterrestrial beings follow a game plan
    >we humans have devised. And lets take it to the next logical level. Going
    >from Type II to Kardashevs Type III, cultures that exploit the resources of
    >entire galaxies, we would have to admit the possibility of creating Dyson
    >spheres around every star in a galaxy, an interesting thought when you ask
    >what methods are best for detecting signs of intelligent life elsewhere in
    >the universe.
    >
    >Image: A Dyson sphere allows a civilization to exploit maximal energy from
    >its star. Excess infrared could conceivably mark its location to
    >SETI-oriented astronomers. Credit: Wikimedia Commons.
    >
    >Hunting for Dyson Spheres
    >
    >For instead of listening for radio broadcasts or looking for optical
    >beacons, finding Dyson spheres, either by themselves or in a wavefront
    >spreading through a galaxy, is an observational SETI that could be
    >successful even if its targets have no interest in trying to contact us.
    >Thus Bruce Dormineys recent essay on SETIs new wave, the idea of searching
    >for distinctive signatures of Dyson spheres and their derivatives.
    >Dorminey, author of the fine Distant Wanderers: The Search for Planets
    >Beyond the Solar System (2001), tracked down people who have begun looking
    >for such objects. People like Dan Wertheimer (UC-Berkeley), who analyzed a
    >thousand solar-type stars (having culled those at least a billion years
    >old), looking for excess infrared. 32 stars made the final cut and were
    >examined for radio or optical transmissions, with no sign of alien
    >intelligence.
    >
    >Dick Carrigan (retired from Fermilab) has spent five years on 11,124
    >sources identified by the Infrared Astronomical Satellite (IRAS). Its all
    >in Dormineys essay, how Carrigan went after objects with an infrared
    >temperature of 200-600 K, looking for the radiation of waste heat, again
    >finding no signs of intelligent activity when scanning several contenders
    >for anomalous radio signals. Or consider James Annis (Fermilab), who
    >analyzes not single stars but entire galaxies looking for signs of
    >engineering.
    >
    >Heres Annis on the possibilities, looking for a galaxy that might emit only
    >100th of one percent of the light expected from it, the possible signature
    >of astroengineering at work:
    >
    >If you were to see obvious dust clouds around a candidate galaxy in the
    >infrared, then it could be a dusty starburst galaxy where the dust is very
    >clumpy and you can see ongoing star formation. But if you got an infrared
    >galactic image that was completely smooth with no lumpiness, that’s an
    >interesting object.
    >
    >Dorminey notes that to achieve this level of dimming on a galactic scale, a
    >Type III civilization would need to have gone to work on just about every
    >star in its galaxy. Which cannot, of course, be ruled out when youre
    >dealing with technologies at this level. Even here, though, we have to
    >avoid being too doctrinaire. One argument against intelligent life in the
    >nearby cosmos is the lack of Type III engineering, the assumption being
    >that any culture that could harness an entire galaxys power would already
    >be blindingly obvious to us. My guess, says Dan Wertheimer, is that just
    >from the astronomical data on file we would have discovered such a
    >civilization by accident.”
    >
    >Alien Technologies, Human Assumptions
    >
    >Would we? That would bring us back to Type II as the only kind of advanced
    >civilization to look for, but I disagree with Wertheimer. In trying to
    >understand hypothetical alien cultures, were assuming we can extrapolate
    >forward from our own technology to what we would do if we had the necessary
    >tools. Thus Dysons sphere, maybe 150 million kilometers in radius, a
    >meters-thick shell rotating around its star. We can figure this to be a
    >desirable outcome, so we assume aliens would think as we do. But would
    >they? Perhaps a Type II society would have made breakthroughs in energy
    >management that would render a Dyson sphere a historical curiosity, like
    >some early 19th Century idea of a flying machine powered by flapping wings
    >and a steam engine.
    >
    >No, I cant imagine what those breakthroughs would be, but then, thats the
    >point. How accurate can we be about predicting what science will find down
    >the road? As Brian Wang has recently noted, projecting technology on our
    >own planet out even fifty to a hundred years is all but impossible. For
    >that matter, how can we be sure advanced engineering works would even be
    >detectable, much less understood? My border collies are supremely
    >intelligent dogs (one of them, anyway), but do they understand the
    >difference between artifact and natural object? Do they know what a
    >technology is? Yet the gap between border collie and human could be minor
    >compared to the gap between human and extraterrestrial, especially if the
    >latter has been developing its own technology for millions of years, if not
    >billions.
    >
    >None of which is to downplay what Wertheimer, Carrigan and Annis have done.
    >Although the odds are daunting, Im all for keeping our eyes open, and if a
    >search for anomalous stars with excess infrared emission turns up
    >interesting objects, lets by all means investigate them. If we find
    >galaxies with high infrared and low optical luminosity, lets subject them
    >to detailed scrutiny. But lets not make any more assumptions than we have
    >to. A negative result in a search for Dyson spheres or anomalous galaxies
    >may only point to the limitations of our ability to project where
    >technologies go as societies enter higher Kardashev levels.
    >
    >Anomalous Galaxies and Their Uses
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >If you want to find something anomalous about galaxies, consider the case
    >of NGC 5907, a spiral galaxy 39 million light years away. Observations of
    >this galaxy in 1998 by Michael Liu (UC-Berkeley) and an international team
    >of astronomers showed an odd mix of stars. Expecting to see hundreds of
    >bright stars in their field of view, the researchers found only a few.
    >Evidently twenty times more light comes from dwarfs than giant stars in the
    >halo of this galaxy. Liu, lead author of the paper on this work, described
    >the finding this way:
    >
    >Our results force us to turn to more esoteric descriptions of the stellar
    >content of NGC 5907s halo. In particular, our data combined with the
    >measured colors of the halo suggest a very metal-poor stellar population
    >with an enormous excess of faint dwarfs. This is the first direct evidence
    >of a substantial population of stars which is essentially all dwarf stars.
    >Such a population has been invoked in the past as a constituent of the dark
    >matter making up galaxy halos.
    >
    >Image: NGC 5907. Can an entire galaxy become the subject of advanced
    >engineering? If so, would we recognize the result? Credit: Brad Ehrhorn,
    >Dan Azari, and Chris Lasley/Kitt Peak Advanced Observing Program.
    >
    >Larry Klaes recently noted this study as an example of anomalies that could
    >conceivably be related to engineering on the galactic scale. His point was
    >not that NGC 5907 demonstrates such, but that given the vast number of
    >galaxies we have to observe, our attempts to examine them in the context of
    >SETI are in their infancy. And if I am right that a Type III civilization
    >is going to be extremely difficult to recognize, then hunting for galactic
    >anomalies makes sense in the context of a broader search, rather than one
    >focused on a particular range of emissions.
    >
    >There is no question that we are re-examining the nature of the SETI search
    >as we grapple with such issues. In radio frequencies, we are most likely to
    >be able to receive a directed signal, which means that here or in the
    >optical range as well our best bet is to find extraterrestrials who
    >already have an interest in communicating with us. Again, we have no reason
    >to assume that alien cultures will feel such a need. Extending SETI into
    >the realm of deep-sky observation (optical SETI is already doing this),
    >using parameters that are both carefully selected yet open to anomalous
    >result, seems a natural development.
    >
    >LOFAR and the Quest for Synergy
    >
    >
    >
    >Which brings us to LOFAR, the Low Frequency Array that is now planning to
    >link radio detectors across Britain, France, Holland, Sweden and Germany.
    >LOFAR studies a wide range of frequencies between 20 MHz and 80 MHz, and
    >again between 120 MHz and 240 MHz. Its primary function is scientific,
    >notes Robert Nichol of Portsmouth University in The Guardian:
    >
    >We will be looking for all sorts of different things with Lofar, added
    >Nichol. We will make surveys of the skies to look for unexpected events;
    >for things that go bump in the night, as it were. We will also be able to
    >study the universes childhood years. We know a lot about the Big Bang, when
    >the universe was created 13 billion years ago, and a lot about it now. But
    >its early childhood years, around 500 million years after the Big Bang,
    >remain a mystery.
    >
    >But Nichol adds that extraterrestrial broadcasts could potentially be found
    >by LOFARs detectors. LOFAR, in other words, is a project dedicated to basic
    >research that could have SETI ramifications on the periphery, and I think
    >thats about the right mix. Those of us who doubt SETI will produce a
    >confirmed extraterrestrial civilization any time soon would still like to
    >see synergy between ongoing science and the attempt to make such
    >discoveries. And wed like to be proven wrong in our SETI pessimism.
    >Whichever wavelengths were studying, whatever objects in the heavens, lets
    >keep our minds open and hope to be surprised.
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >


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